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A Full Gap Down occurs when
the opening price is less than
yesterday's low.
The chart for Amazon below shows both a
full gap up on August 18 (green arrow)
and a full gap down the next day (red
arrow).

A Partial Gap Up occurs when
today's opening price is higher than
yesterday's close, but not higher than
yesterday's high.
The next chart for Earthlink depicts the
partial gap up on June 1 (red arrow),
and the full gap up on June 2 (green
arrow).

A Partial Gap Down occurs when
the opening price is below yesterday's
close, but not below yesterday's low.
The red arrow on the chart for Offshore
Logistics, below, shows where the stock
opened below the previous close, but not
below the previous low.

In order to successfully trade
gapping stocks, one should use a
disciplined set of entry and exit rules
to signal trades and minimize risk.
Additionally, gap trading strategies can
be applied to weekly, end-of-day, or
intraday gaps. It is important for
longer-term investors to understand the
mechanics of gaps, as the 'short'
signals can be used as the exit signal
to sell holdings.
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The Gap Trading Strategies
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Each of the four gap types has a long
and short trading signal, defining the
eight gap trading strategies. The basic
tenet of gap trading is to allow one
hour after the market opens for the
stock price to establish its range. A
Modified Trading Method, to be discussed
later, can be used with any of the eight
primary strategies to trigger trades
before the first hour, although it
involves more risk. Once a position is
entered, you calculate and set an 8%
trailing stop to exit a long position,
and a 4% trailing stop to exit a short
position. A trailing stop is simply an
exit threshold that follows the rising
price or falling price in the case of
short positions.
Long Example: You buy a stock at
$100. You set the exit at no more than
8% below that, or $92. If the price
rises to $120, you raise the stop to
$110.375, which is approximately 8%
below $120. The stop keeps rising as
long as the stock price rises. In this
manner, you follow the rise in stock
price with either a real or mental stop
that is executed when the price trend
finally reverses.
Short Example: You short a stock at
$100. You set the Buy-to-Cover at $104
so that a trend reversal of 4% would
force you to exit the position. If the
price drops to $90, you recalculate the
stop at 4% above that number, or $93 to
Buy-to-Cover.
The eight primary strategies are as
follows:
Full Gap Up: Long
If a stock's opening price is greater
than yesterday's high, revisit the
1-minute chart after 10:30 am and set a
long (buy) stop two ticks above the high
achieved in the first hour of trading.
(Note: A 'tick' is defined as the
bid/ask spread, usually 1/8 to 1/4
point, depending on the stock.)
Full Gap Up: Short
If the stock gaps up, but there is
insufficient buying pressure to sustain
the rise, the stock price will level or
drop below the opening gap price.
Traders can set similar entry signals
for short positions as follows:
If a stock's opening price is greater
than yesterday's high, revisit the
1-minute chart after 10:30 am and set a
short stop equal to two ticks below the
low achieved in the first hour of
trading.
Full Gap Down: Long
Poor earnings, bad news, organizational
changes and market influences can cause
a stock's price to drop
uncharacteristically. A full gap down
occurs when the price is below not only
the previous day's close, but the low of
the day before as well. A stock whose
price opens in a full gap down, then
begins to climb immediately, is known as
a "Dead Cat Bounce."
If a stock's opening price is less
than yesterday's low, set a long stop
equal to two ticks more than yesterday's
low.
Full Gap Down: Short
If a stock's opening price is less than
yesterday's low, revisit the 1-minute
chart after 10:30 am and set a short
stop equal to two ticks below the low
achieved in the first hour of trading.
Partial Gaps
The difference between a Full and
Partial Gap is risk and potential gain.
In general, a stock gapping completely
above the previous day's high has a
significant change in the market's
desire to own or sell it. Demand is
large enough to force the market maker
or floor specialist to make a major
price change to accommodate the unfilled
orders. Full gapping stocks generally
trend farther in one direction than
stocks which only partially gap.
However, a smaller demand may just
require the trading floor to only move
price above or below the previous close
in order to trigger buying or selling to
fill on-hand orders. There is a
generally a greater opportunity for gain
over several days in full gapping
stocks.
If there is not enough interest in
selling or buying a stock after the
initial orders are filled, the stock
will return to its trading range
quickly. Entering a trade for a
partially gapping stock generally calls
for either greater attention or closer
trailing stops of 5-6%.
Partial Gap Up: Long
If a stock's opening price is greater
than yesterday's close, but not greater
than yesterday's high, the condition is
considered a Partial Gap Up. The process
for a long entry is the same for Full
Gaps in that one revisits the 1-minute
chart after 10:30 am and set a long
(buy) stop two ticks above the high
achieved in the first hour of trading.
Partial Gap Up: Short
The short trade process for a partial
gap up is the same for Full Gaps in that
one revisits the 1-minute chart after
10:30 am and sets a short stop two ticks
below the low achieved in the first hour
of trading.
Partial Gap Down: Long
If a stock's opening price is less than
yesterday's close, revisit the 1 minute
chart after 10:30 am and set a buy stop
two ticks above the high achieved in the
first hour of trading.
Partial Gap Down: Short
The short trade process for a partial
gap down is the same for Full Gap Down
in that one revisits the 1-minute chart
after 10:30AM and sets a short stop two
ticks below the low achieved in the
first hour of trading.
If a stock's opening price is less
than yesterday's close, set a short stop
equal to two ticks less than the low
achieved in the first hour of trading
today.
If the volume requirement is not met,
the safest way to play a partial gap is
to wait until the price breaks the
previous high (on a long trade) or low
(on a short trade).
All eight of
the Gap Trading Strategies can also be
applied to end-of-day trading. Using
StockCharts.com's
Gap Scans, end-of-day traders can
review those stocks with the best
potential. Increases in volume for
stocks gapping up or down is a strong
indication of continued movement in the
same direction of the gap. A gapping
stock that crosses above resistance
levels provides reliable entry signals.
Similarly, a short position would be
signaled by a stock whose gap down fails
support levels.
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What is the Modified Trading
Method? |
The Modified Trading Method applies
to all eight Full and Partial Gap
scenarios above. The only difference is
instead of waiting until the price
breaks above the high (or below the low
for a short); you enter the trade in the
middle of the rebound. The other
requirement for this method is that the
stock should be trading on at least
twice the average volume for the last
five days. This method is only
recommended for those individuals who
are proficient with the eight strategies
above, and have fast trade execution
systems. Since heavy volume trading can
experience quick reversals, mental stops
are usually used instead of hard stops.
Modified Trading Method: Long
If a stock's opening price is greater
than yesterday's high, revisit the 1
minute chart after 10:30 am and set a
long stop equal to the average of the
open price and the high price achieved
in the first hour of trading. This
method recommends that the projected
daily volume be double the 5-day
average.
Modified Trading Method: Short
If a stock's opening price is less than
yesterday's low, revisit the 1 minute
chart after 10:30 am and set a long stop
equal to the average of the open and low
price achieved in the first hour of
trading. This method recommends that the
projected daily volume be double the
5-day average.
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Where do I find gapping
stocks? |
Members of StockCharts' Extra service
can run scans against daily data that is
updated on an intraday basis. This is
perfect for finding gapping stocks.
Simply run the pre-defined gap scans
using the Intraday data setting around
10AM Eastern. StockCharts.com also
publishes lists of stocks that
fully gapped up or
fully gapped down each day based on
end-of-day data. This is an excellent
source of ideas for longer term
investors.
Although these are useful lists of
gapping stocks, it is important to look
at the longer term charts of the stock
to know where the support and resistance
may be, and play only those with an
average volume above 500,000 shares a
day until the gap trading technique is
mastered. The most profitable gap plays
are normally made on stocks you've
followed in the past and are familiar
with.
In simple terms, the Gap Trading
Strategies are a rigorously defined
trading system that uses specific
criteria to enter and exit. Trailing
stops are defined to limit loss and
protect profits. The simplest method for
determining your own ability to
successfully trade gaps is to paper
trade. Paper trading does not involve
any real transaction. Instead, one
writes down or logs an entry signal and
then does the same for an exit signal.
Then subtract commissions and slippage
to determine your potential profit or
loss.
Gap trading is much simpler than the
length of this tutorial may suggest. You
will not find either the tops or bottoms
of a stock's price range, but you will
be able to profit in a structured manner
and minimize losses by using stops. It
is, after all, more important to be
consistently profitable than to
continually chase movers or enter after
the crowd.
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