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Should You Invest in a Stock
with Overhead Resistance?
Although many investors are told not to buy a stock
which has a substantial amount of overhead resistance
this can be misleading at times. Let us look at an
example of a stock which did very well in 2002.
BLUD which had some overhead resistance around the
$12.50 level formed a low level Cup and Handle (point A)
pattern in 2001 and then broke out in the early part of
2002 accompanied by increasing volume (point B).
After breaking out in the early part of 2002 BLUD
then rose from $5 to $10 a share before stalling out in
March. BLUD then preceded to form another longer term
Cup and Handle pattern before breaking out again in May
of 2002.
Over the next few weeks BLUD rose from
$8 to $12.50 before stalling out again which was near
its longer term overhead resistance area. Meanwhile
after stalling out near its longer term overhead
resistance area BLUD then developed another longer term
Cup and Handle (point C) pattern prior to break out for
a third time in June of 2002 accompanied by good
volume. After breaking out in June BLUD eventually
rose to around the $25 level by the end of the year
(point D).
As the charts show above investors were
given three separate opportunities to invest in BLUD
during 2002. Those investors that noticed the first Cup
and Handle pattern during the latter half of 2001 into
the early part of 2002 were well rewarded as they could
have realized a net gain of nearly 400% ($5 to $25)
versus those investors who waited for BLUD to break
above its longer term overhead resistance area near the
$12.50 level. However even those investors who waited
for BLUD to clear its longer term resistance still could
have potentially doubled their money ($12.50 to $25).
Thus even though a stock may have some longer term
overhead resistance that doesn't mean it should be
ignored especially if it is developing a favorable chart
pattern such as a "Cup and Handle".
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