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Why Sales and Earnings Growth is
Important to a Stock's Performance
If you go back through the history of the stock
market there is a recurring theme among those stocks which have
had some of the strongest price appreciation and it's related to
their Sales and Earnings Growth. Companies which are
exhibiting favorable Sales and Earnings Growth can still do well
even in Bear Markets.
Here are a few examples of two companies which
both experienced favorable Sales and Earnings Growth over the
past year and performed well.
SCSS began to see its Sales Growth turnaround in
the 4th Quarter of 2001 and exhibited double digit Sales Growth
during 2002. This was also reflected in the their Earnings
Growth as well as shown by the table below.
|
SCSS |
3Q 01/00 |
4Q 01/00 |
1Q 02/01 |
2Q 02/01 |
3Q 02/01 |
4Q 02/01 |
|
% Chg Sales Growth |
-6% |
8% |
24% |
23% |
33% |
33% |
|
% Chg Earnings Growth |
103% |
103% |
120% |
142% |
900% |
275% |
Notice how SCSS completed the right side of a 2
year Cup last April and May and then developed a Handle for
several weeks during the Summer months before breaking out on
strong volume in September and October (point A). Over the next
several weeks SCSS rose from $6 to $12 a share for a gain of
100%.
Meanwhile USNA exhibited similar characteristics
as it began to see both its Sales and Earnings Growth increase
during 2002 as well.
|
USNA |
3Q 01/00 |
4Q 01/00 |
1Q 02/01 |
2Q 02/01 |
3Q 02/01 |
4Q 02/01 |
|
% Chg Sales Growth |
-3% |
-3% |
4% |
12% |
19% |
33% |
|
% Chg Earnings Growth |
20% |
17% |
140% |
220% |
267% |
357% |
USNA completed the right side of a 2 1/2 year
Cup last June and then proceeded to develop a Handle during the
July through September period before breaking out in early
October accompanied by strong volume (point B). After breaking
out in early October USNA then went from $7 to $19 a share over
the next several weeks for a gain of 170%.
Thus by looking for those companies exhibiting
good Sales and Earnings Growth which have developed a favorable
chart pattern such as the "Cup and Handle" can still give
investors decent opportunities even in a Bear Market
environment.
This is what I do every week as I continue to
look for stocks exhibiting similar characteristics as shown
above as they will provide the best opportunities in the future.
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