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How Sales and Earnings Growth can
affects a Stock's Performance
If you go back through the history of the stock
market there is a recurring theme among those stocks which have
had some of the strongest price appreciation and it's related to
their Sales and
Earnings Growth. Let's look at two companies over the past
few years and compare their Sales and Earnings Growth.
First let's look at Microsoft (MSFT) which has
hard meager Sales and Earnings Growth in 2002 and 2003. Since
the market made a bottom in October of 2002 MSFT has seen very
little price appreciation since then. Back in early October of
2002 MSFT was trading around $22 a share and in late March of
2004 MSFT was trading near $24 a share. Thus while the major
averages saw significant gains from October of 2002 into the
early part of 2004 MSFT was only up 9%.
Now let's look at a stock which has been
exhibiting strong Sales and Earnings Growth over the past year
or so. As you can see below Taser (TASR) has seen accelerating
Sales and Earnings Growth over the past two quarters which has
been reflected in its stock price. TASR formed a "Cup and
Handle" pattern before breaking out in September of 2003 and
rose nearly 800% from September of 2003 through mid February of
2004.
As these examples show those companies which
have accelerating
Sales and Earnings Growth have the potential to perform very
well while those with poor Sales and Earnings will languish even
in a Bull Market environment. I would imagine those investors
who have held MSFT over the past few years aren't very happy as
the stock price has virtually gone nowhere since October of 2002
into the early part of 2004.
The key is to recognize those companies which
are starting to establish a trend of accelerating Sales and
Earnings Growth before everyone else does which takes a lot of
time and research. This is what I do every week as I spend
over 20 hours a week looking for companies that are starting to
show signs of accelerating Sales and Earnings Growth.
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